Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Monahan 52.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 76.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Henrique
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Monahan
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
53.2% (820)
+2.9%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
55.3% (159)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
48.4% (95)
+2.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Monahan is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (673).
Home / Away
Henrique
Monahan
Home
53.5% (215)
54.6% (529)
Away
55.2% (306)
51.6% (545)
By Period
Henrique
Monahan
P1
57.7%
49.2%
P2
53.8%
55.2%
P3
51.6%
53.5%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 17:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |