Casey Mittelstadt vs Sean Monahan
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 46.4% vs Monahan 53.9% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 70.7%
Defensive zone
Mittelstadt 75.0%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 73.5%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Last 5: Mittelstadt 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Mittelstadt
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (569)
54.5% (231)
-9.2%
Power Play
49.6% (135)
58.2% (67)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
52.2% (23)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Mittelstadt is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Monahan
Home
45.1% (366)
53.5% (144)
Away
46.8% (370)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Monahan
P1
41.1%
52.5%
P2
51.1%
50.9%
P3
45.9%
60.8%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
42.0%▼
50.5%
45.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |