Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 54.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.3%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 58.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 53.6%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Dvorak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Dvorak
Monahan
Last 10: Dvorak 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
2
Dvorak
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (722)
52.1% (858)
+1.9%
Power Play
58.8% (187)
55.9% (177)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (40)
33.3% (9)
+24.2%
On penalty kill, Dvorak has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dvorak is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Dvorak shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Monahan
Home
58.6% (444)
52.6% (504)
Away
52.1% (505)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Dvorak
Monahan
P1
54.5%
56.7%
P2
53.6%
52.1%
P3
57.1%
48.1%
OT
56.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 15:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |