Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Bedard wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 40.7% vs Monahan 54.5% (-16.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 12-3 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 92.1%
Defensive zone
Bedard 86.5%
Neutral zone
Bedard 91.7%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Bedard
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
12
(15 meetings)
3
12
Bedard
Monahan
Last 10: Bedard 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Bedard
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
6
Bedard
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Bedard
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (512)
57.1% (871)
-18.2%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
53.1% (262)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.6% (139)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bedard is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Bedard shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Bedard
Monahan
Home
40.2% (246)
55.3% (644)
Away
37.8% (286)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Bedard
Monahan
P1
39.9%
53.9%
P2
38.5%
55.3%
P3
39.0%
54.4%
OT
25.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
46.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
38.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 15:37 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |