Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.1% vs Monahan 49.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 65.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 58.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Pettersson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Pettersson
Monahan
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
3
Pettersson
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Pettersson
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
4
Pettersson
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (140)
46.4% (532)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Pettersson shoots left. Monahan is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Monahan
Home
45.1% (71)
49.0% (355)
Away
44.9% (69)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Pettersson
Monahan
P1
50.0%
49.8%
P2
39.6%
46.6%
P3
41.9%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
65.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
45.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 3 | 10:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |