Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 45.0% vs Monahan 50.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 64.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Strome
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Strome
Monahan
Last 5: Strome 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Strome
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (568)
51.0% (1,063)
-6.6%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
49.4% (314)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (42)
40.0% (30)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Strome shoots right. Monahan is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Strome
Monahan
Home
42.8% (367)
53.8% (705)
Away
46.1% (304)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Strome
Monahan
P1
41.1%
47.3%
P2
44.9%
53.9%
P3
46.6%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2018 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 25, 2018 | OT | 03:11 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |