Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+18.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 92.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 85.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Monahan
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Monahan
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Jarvis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
32.1% (81)
+20.3%
Power Play
58.6% (174)
38.6% (57)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (144)
28.6% (14)
+17.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Monahan shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Monahan
Jarvis
Home
53.4% (624)
40.6% (69)
Away
51.7% (547)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Monahan
Jarvis
P1
53.7%
30.9%
P2
52.4%
30.6%
P3
51.6%
47.1%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |