Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.4% vs Johnson 51.4% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 63.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 67.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Monahan
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Monahan
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (853)
63.6% (11)
-11.2%
On even strength, Johnson has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Monahan is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Monahan shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Monahan
Johnson
Home
53.4% (624)
62.5% (8)
Away
51.7% (547)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Monahan
Johnson
P2
52.4%
85.7%
P3
51.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |