Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 34-26 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 71.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 55.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Monahan
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
26
(60 meetings)
34
26
Monahan
Johnson
Last 10: Monahan 6-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
9
4
Monahan
Johnson
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
11
14
Monahan
Johnson
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
14
8
Monahan
Johnson
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
49.8% (5,396)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
54.6% (885)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (766)
42.3% (707)
+3.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Monahan shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Monahan
Johnson
Home
52.4% (7,358)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Monahan
Johnson
P1
50.9%
50.1%
P2
51.7%
50.6%
P3
51.0%
48.4%
OT
53.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |