Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Gourde 49.7% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.3%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.5%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Monahan
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
49.1% (847)
+5.4%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
79.5% (44)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
39.5% (81)
+12.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Monahan shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Monahan
Gourde
Home
53.5% (144)
50.1% (491)
Away
56.5% (177)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Monahan
Gourde
P1
52.5%
54.7%
P2
50.9%
45.0%
P3
60.8%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%