Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Monahan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Gourde 48.0% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 80.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Monahan
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Monahan
Gourde
Last 10: Monahan 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
2
Monahan
Gourde
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
3
4
Monahan
Gourde
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
2
Monahan
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
48.0% (914)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
54.2% (48)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
43.9% (123)
+0.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Monahan shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Monahan
Gourde
Home
55.3% (644)
50.2% (512)
Away
54.5% (628)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Monahan
Gourde
P1
53.9%
50.0%
P2
55.3%
45.3%
P3
54.4%
48.6%
OT
76.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:31 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |