Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Aho 48.7% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 70.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 69.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Horvat
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Horvat
Aho
Last 9: Horvat 2-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Horvat
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Horvat
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
47.4% (953)
+6.6%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
58.0% (174)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
41.6% (77)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Horvat shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Horvat
Aho
Home
57.2% (987)
50.2% (609)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Horvat
Aho
P1
53.9%
48.7%
P2
53.7%
50.2%
P3
53.6%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |