Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Jenner wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 54.3% vs Aho 52.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 75.1%
Defensive zone
Jenner 65.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 54.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Jenner
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Jenner
Aho
Last 10: Jenner 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Jenner
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
6
0
Jenner
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Jenner
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (391)
52.4% (622)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (99)
52.4% (42)
-0.9%
On power play, Aho has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Jenner is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (361).
Jenner shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Jenner
Aho
Home
57.8% (249)
54.9% (359)
Away
52.9% (297)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Jenner
Aho
P1
51.8%
51.6%
P2
58.7%
53.3%
P3
56.2%
52.7%
OT
37.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
55.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 20, 2021 | OT | 02:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | OT | 01:55 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | OT | 01:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | OT | 01:13 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:37 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Boone Jenner |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |