Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Aho 52.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 89.4%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 69.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 64.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Cizikas
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cizikas
Aho
Last 6: Cizikas 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Cizikas
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Cizikas
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
51.6% (819)
+6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
58.4% (173)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
46.3% (67)
-1.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Aho
Home
56.6% (484)
53.9% (568)
Away
54.5% (477)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Cizikas
Aho
P1
57.2%
55.4%
P2
54.7%
51.2%
P3
54.8%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:17 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:06 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |