Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 48.6%). Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Aho 48.7% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 60.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Eller
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eller
Aho
Last 8: Eller 6-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Eller
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
47.4% (953)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
58.0% (174)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
41.6% (77)
+2.3%
On power play, Aho has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Eller is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Eller shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Eller
Aho
Home
49.4% (559)
50.2% (609)
Away
48.5% (550)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Eller
Aho
P1
50.1%
48.7%
P2
46.7%
50.2%
P3
49.9%
47.0%
OT
71.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2019 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 10:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |