Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Blueger 52.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 84.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 50.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Aho
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Aho
Blueger
Last 6: Aho 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
0
Aho
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Aho
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
54.2% (590)
-3.0%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
71.4% (14)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
48.0% (177)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Aho shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Aho
Blueger
Home
54.9% (548)
53.2% (378)
Away
53.3% (507)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Aho
Blueger
P1
52.8%
54.3%
P2
58.9%
56.7%
P3
50.6%
48.9%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Blueger
54.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |