Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 54.9% vs Blueger 50.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 90.2%
Defensive zone
Blueger 67.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 61.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Aho
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Aho
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
0
Aho
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Aho
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (870)
53.3% (745)
+1.2%
Power Play
62.4% (266)
45.5% (11)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
41.7% (259)
-4.6%
On power play, Aho has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Aho is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Aho shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Aho
Blueger
Home
53.9% (603)
53.4% (504)
Away
56.8% (595)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Aho
Blueger
P1
54.1%
46.6%
P2
55.0%
53.0%
P3
57.4%
50.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%
Blueger
54.0%▲
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |