Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.0% vs Blueger 48.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 76.5%
Defensive zone
Blueger 76.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.1%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Aho
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Aho
Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Aho
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
2
Aho
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (851)
50.2% (223)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
62.5% (8)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
31.9% (47)
+11.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Aho shoots left. Blueger is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Aho
Blueger
Home
53.2% (554)
50.0% (192)
Away
46.5% (501)
41.9% (86)
By Period
Aho
Blueger
P1
49.1%
46.2%
P2
50.8%
51.5%
P3
49.7%
43.2%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 08:12 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |