Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.2% vs Boyd 45.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 67.2%
Defensive zone
Boyd 65.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Aho
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Aho
Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
2
Aho
Boyd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (819)
45.9% (784)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.4% (173)
43.2% (81)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (67)
40.3% (62)
+6.0%
On power play, Aho has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Aho shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Aho
Boyd
Home
53.9% (568)
45.1% (501)
Away
50.7% (491)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Aho
Boyd
P1
55.4%
45.9%
P2
51.2%
44.6%
P3
50.9%
45.8%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |