Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.3% vs Boyd 44.1% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 95.6%
Defensive zone
Aho 74.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 85.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Aho
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Aho
Boyd
Last 10: Aho 8-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
3
Aho
Boyd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
0
Aho
Boyd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
2
1
Aho
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,415)
44.4% (2,186)
+5.7%
Power Play
59.1% (1,297)
46.5% (256)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (446)
35.6% (208)
+10.4%
On power play, Aho has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Aho shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Aho
Boyd
Home
52.4% (4,199)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
50.2% (3,959)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Aho
Boyd
P1
51.2%
41.7%
P2
52.1%
46.2%
P3
50.8%
44.0%
OT
48.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |