Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Boyd 43.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 92.8%
Defensive zone
Aho 65.7%
Neutral zone
Aho 77.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Aho
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Aho
Boyd
Last 8: Aho 6-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
1
Aho
Boyd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
0
Aho
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (778)
43.4% (893)
+5.1%
Power Play
63.4% (191)
51.5% (136)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
34.6% (127)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Aho is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Aho shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Aho
Boyd
Home
51.3% (530)
46.0% (570)
Away
51.4% (504)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Aho
Boyd
P1
50.0%
38.9%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
52.1%
41.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.4%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |