Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Aho wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Dellandrea 44.1% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.9%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 84.5%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 56.6%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Aho
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Aho
Dellandrea
Last 6: Aho 2-4 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
0
Aho
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
3
Aho
Dellandrea
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Aho
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
42.7% (143)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
39.5% (81)
+18.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Aho shoots left. Dellandrea is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Aho
Dellandrea
Home
54.9% (548)
41.9% (105)
Away
53.3% (507)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Aho
Dellandrea
P1
52.8%
44.4%
P2
58.9%
39.5%
P3
50.6%
41.4%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |