Scouting Report
Ty Dellandrea holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Aho wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.4% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 74.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 90.6%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 56.6%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Aho
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Aho
Dellandrea
Last 8: Aho 5-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
0
Aho
Dellandrea
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
3
Aho
Dellandrea
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (647)
54.1% (355)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
53.8% (13)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (42)
47.6% (143)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Aho shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Aho
Dellandrea
Home
53.9% (445)
54.3% (278)
Away
46.4% (375)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Aho
Dellandrea
P1
48.7%
54.2%
P2
51.4%
50.6%
P3
50.8%
51.8%
OT
58.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |