Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 87.2%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 81.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.7%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Aho
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Aho
Dellandrea
Last 10: Aho 6-4 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
8
0
Aho
Dellandrea
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
9
Aho
Dellandrea
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,619)
50.5% (1,108)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
59.4% (32)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (464)
43.4% (318)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Aho shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Aho
Dellandrea
Home
52.4% (4,308)
49.4% (741)
Away
50.1% (4,085)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Aho
Dellandrea
P1
51.1%
49.7%
P2
52.0%
48.6%
P3
50.7%
49.4%
OT
48.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |