Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 46.4% vs Johnson 49.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 54.8%
Defensive zone
Johnson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Johnson 66.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Aho
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Aho
Johnson
Last 7: Aho 6-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
0
Aho
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Johnson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Aho
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (744)
47.2% (286)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.6% (112)
61.8% (55)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (33)
33.3% (12)
+12.2%
On power play, Johnson has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Aho is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Aho shoots left. Johnson is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (263).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnson
Home
46.7% (445)
55.0% (151)
Away
45.3% (444)
44.6% (202)
By Period
Aho
Johnson
P1
48.1%
42.3%
P2
44.9%
56.2%
P3
45.8%
47.3%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:25 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |