Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Johnson 45.7% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 85.1%
Defensive zone
Aho 59.4%
Neutral zone
Aho 77.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Aho
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Aho
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Johnson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
44.6% (285)
+6.6%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
46.7% (60)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
16.7% (6)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Aho shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnson
Home
54.9% (548)
50.8% (179)
Away
53.3% (507)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Aho
Johnson
P1
52.8%
41.3%
P2
58.9%
41.8%
P3
50.6%
49.6%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |