Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 52.2% vs Johnson 53.6% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Aho 66.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 61.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 52.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Aho
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (819)
61.9% (42)
-10.3%
Power Play
58.4% (173)
55.6% (9)
+2.8%
On even strength, Johnson has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Aho shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Aho
Johnson
Home
53.9% (568)
52.0% (25)
Away
50.7% (491)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Aho
Johnson
P1
55.4%
72.0%
P2
51.2%
66.7%
P3
50.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%