Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.0% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 68.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 65.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.4%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Aho
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Aho
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Aho
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (851)
53.2% (201)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
60.0% (25)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
44.4% (9)
-1.1%
On power play, Seguin has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Aho shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Aho
Seguin
Home
53.2% (554)
56.3% (126)
Away
46.5% (501)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Aho
Seguin
P1
49.1%
44.3%
P2
50.8%
52.1%
P3
49.7%
62.5%
OT
58.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |