Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.4% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 64.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 70.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 55.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Aho
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Aho
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Aho
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (647)
53.2% (201)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
60.0% (25)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (42)
44.4% (9)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Aho shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Aho
Seguin
Home
53.9% (445)
56.3% (126)
Away
46.4% (375)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Aho
Seguin
P1
48.7%
44.3%
P2
51.4%
52.1%
P3
50.8%
62.5%
OT
58.8%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |