Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Aho wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 53.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Aho
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Aho
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
0
Aho
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Aho
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (785)
56.9% (478)
-5.7%
Power Play
63.8% (213)
57.4% (54)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (57)
51.3% (76)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Aho shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Aho
Seguin
Home
54.9% (548)
57.4% (317)
Away
53.3% (507)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Aho
Seguin
P1
52.8%
50.3%
P2
58.9%
60.4%
P3
50.6%
58.0%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 09:53 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |