Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McTavish 48.7% vs Pinto 50.3% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Pinto leads 18-8 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 77.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 52.7%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.9%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
McTavish
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
18
(26 meetings)
8
18
McTavish
Pinto
Last 10: McTavish 4-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
6
McTavish
Pinto
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
9
McTavish
Pinto
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
5
3
McTavish
Pinto
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McTavish
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (2,788)
50.6% (2,716)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.6% (435)
54.4% (90)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (35)
44.9% (234)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
McTavish shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Home / Away
McTavish
Pinto
Home
49.8% (1,678)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
47.4% (1,580)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
McTavish
Pinto
P1
50.0%
48.3%
P2
47.8%
51.7%
P3
48.4%
50.9%
OT
43.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McTavish
46.0%▬
45.5%
48.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 11, 2024 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:35 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |