Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Sturm wins 67.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sturm 59.0% vs Pinto 50.5% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 65.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 52.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 62.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Sturm
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sturm
Pinto
Last 6: Sturm 2-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Sturm
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sturm
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sturm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
60.6% (708)
51.2% (463)
+9.4%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
50.0% (14)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (101)
36.8% (19)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Sturm is 67.8% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Sturm shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Sturm
Pinto
Home
61.6% (451)
52.2% (205)
Away
58.2% (376)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Sturm
Pinto
P1
55.9%
48.7%
P2
58.9%
51.8%
P3
64.6%
51.2%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.1%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |