Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kuraly wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Pinto 51.9% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 81.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 80.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 53.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Kuraly
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kuraly
Pinto
Last 8: Kuraly 7-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
0
Kuraly
Pinto
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
52.5% (825)
-3.3%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
40.0% (10)
+28.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
44.4% (27)
+5.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Kuraly shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Pinto
Home
51.7% (603)
52.8% (453)
Away
47.3% (539)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Kuraly
Pinto
P1
50.9%
49.0%
P2
49.5%
53.5%
P3
49.1%
53.7%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 19:22 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |