Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 16 meetings). Hughes wins 31.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 37.4% vs Crosby 53.3% (-18.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 23-9 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 96.9%
Defensive zone
Hughes 92.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 97.0%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 96.4%
96.4%
3.6%
Hughes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
23
(32 meetings)
9
23
Hughes
Crosby
Last 10: Hughes 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
11
Hughes
Crosby
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Hughes
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
8
Hughes
Crosby
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
35.7% (569)
54.3% (996)
-18.6%
Power Play
33.3% (36)
53.5% (215)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
39.2% (51)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Hughes is 31.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Hughes shoots left. Crosby is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Hughes
Crosby
Home
37.8% (333)
55.8% (615)
Away
32.4% (278)
51.5% (647)
By Period
Hughes
Crosby
P1
38.8%
58.7%
P2
28.3%
50.0%
P3
38.6%
51.7%
OT
42.9%
61.5%
Final 5 min
31.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 10:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 06:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 12:27 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |