Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 50.9% vs Crosby 57.8% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 71.7%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 86.6%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 75.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Pavelski
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Pavelski
Crosby
Last 10: Pavelski 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Pavelski
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Pavelski
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
3
2
Pavelski
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (594)
57.8% (1,437)
-6.3%
Power Play
51.7% (87)
60.9% (381)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
50.0% (54)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Pavelski is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Pavelski shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Crosby
Home
53.1% (339)
59.2% (985)
Away
49.2% (356)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Pavelski
Crosby
P1
53.8%
57.3%
P2
47.8%
59.5%
P3
50.2%
58.5%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
51.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 10:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |