Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.5% vs Crosby 49.9% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Eller
Crosby
Last 8: Eller 6-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Eller
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (705)
49.4% (1,194)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
52.6% (350)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (60)
43.4% (53)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
54.6% (383)
51.3% (776)
Away
48.9% (401)
48.6% (821)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
53.8%
50.5%
P2
52.5%
51.3%
P3
48.6%
47.8%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |