Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 71.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Eller
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Eller
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Eller
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
56.2% (1,451)
-3.4%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
61.4% (293)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
55.3% (38)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Eller
Crosby
Home
52.6% (340)
59.1% (939)
Away
51.8% (411)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Eller
Crosby
P1
52.4%
54.9%
P2
54.1%
60.8%
P3
50.0%
55.4%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Lars Eller |