Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Crosby wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Thompson 45.3% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 70.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 79.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Crosby
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Crosby
Thompson
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Crosby
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
7
3
Crosby
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
44.9% (642)
+8.8%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
47.9% (94)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
33.3% (33)
+31.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Crosby
Thompson
Home
56.9% (649)
46.0% (391)
Away
54.9% (590)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Crosby
Thompson
P1
55.8%
48.1%
P2
53.2%
44.9%
P3
58.7%
41.2%
OT
54.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |