Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Crosby wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Thompson 44.0% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 85.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 52.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 67.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Crosby
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Crosby
Thompson
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
9
0
Crosby
Thompson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
3
Crosby
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
7
Crosby
Thompson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
44.6% (709)
+13.2%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
41.5% (53)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
35.1% (97)
+14.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Crosby
Thompson
Home
59.2% (985)
45.5% (426)
Away
57.2% (887)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Crosby
Thompson
P1
57.3%
48.5%
P2
59.5%
43.8%
P3
58.5%
38.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 17:44 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:52 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |