Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 23 meetings). Crosby wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Thompson 42.8% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 47-27 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 98.9%
Defensive zone
Crosby 86.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 95.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 93.7%
93.7%
6.3%
Crosby
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
47
-
27
(74 meetings)
47
27
Crosby
Thompson
Last 10: Crosby 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
19
4
Crosby
Thompson
23 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Crosby
Thompson
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
17
12
Crosby
Thompson
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
42.9% (3,521)
+9.9%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
46.8% (372)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
33.6% (265)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Crosby
Thompson
Home
55.0% (11,972)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Crosby
Thompson
P1
53.6%
44.5%
P2
53.9%
43.6%
P3
53.3%
40.2%
OT
49.6%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:20 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |