Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Crosby wins 55.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 52.3% vs Thompson 41.2% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 69.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 82.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 82.8%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Crosby
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Crosby
Thompson
Last 10: Crosby 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Crosby
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Crosby
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Crosby
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,169)
40.6% (801)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.2% (261)
44.7% (103)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (20)
31.0% (71)
+14.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Crosby shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Crosby
Thompson
Home
53.2% (726)
43.2% (507)
Away
51.7% (724)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Crosby
Thompson
P1
51.3%
37.7%
P2
52.1%
43.4%
P3
54.1%
39.5%
OT
45.8%
27.3%
Final 5 min
52.3%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 2 | 15:56 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:07 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |