Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 56.6% vs Kozak 47.8% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 97.1%
Defensive zone
Crosby 77.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 86.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 91.8%
91.8%
8.2%
Crosby
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Crosby
Kozak
Last 6: Crosby 5-1 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
1
Crosby
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
0
Crosby
Kozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (1,451)
46.0% (137)
+10.2%
Power Play
61.4% (293)
66.7% (3)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
40.0% (5)
+15.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Crosby shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Crosby
Kozak
Home
59.1% (939)
51.2% (84)
Away
54.7% (843)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Crosby
Kozak
P1
54.9%
57.1%
P2
60.8%
34.7%
P3
55.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |