Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.5% vs Kozak 49.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kozak 79.8%
Neutral zone
Kozak 54.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Crosby
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Crosby
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
0
Crosby
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Crosby
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (984)
49.3% (294)
+4.4%
Power Play
64.7% (241)
60.0% (5)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
50.0% (40)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Crosby shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Crosby
Kozak
Home
56.9% (649)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.9% (590)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Crosby
Kozak
P1
55.8%
53.4%
P2
53.2%
50.0%
P3
58.7%
44.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |