Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Crosby wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Kozak 48.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 96.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 52.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 85.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Crosby
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Crosby
Kozak
Last 8: Crosby 6-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
1
Crosby
Kozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Crosby
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
0
Crosby
Kozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
48.3% (431)
+4.5%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
62.5% (8)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
48.9% (45)
-1.8%
On power play, Kozak has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Crosby shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Crosby
Kozak
Home
55.0% (11,972)
47.6% (229)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Crosby
Kozak
P1
53.6%
54.4%
P2
53.9%
45.7%
P3
53.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:34 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |