Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Lorentz wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 49.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (-7.4%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 59.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 51.9%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Lorentz
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (135)
56.9% (478)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
51.3% (76)
-1.3%
On even strength, Seguin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lorentz is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Lorentz shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Seguin
Home
50.7% (75)
57.4% (317)
Away
46.9% (64)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Lorentz
Seguin
P1
60.0%
50.3%
P2
46.3%
60.4%
P3
44.0%
58.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%