Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Lorentz wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lorentz 50.0% vs Seguin 52.5% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 50.5%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 59.7%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lorentz
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lorentz
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (67)
53.2% (201)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (25)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
44.4% (9)
-1.5%
On power play, Seguin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lorentz is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Lorentz shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Lorentz
Seguin
Home
55.4% (65)
56.3% (126)
Away
36.0% (25)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Lorentz
Seguin
P1
59.3%
44.3%
P2
47.1%
52.1%
P3
44.8%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%