Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.1%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 53.7%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 60.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Henrique
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Henrique
Stamkos
Last 7: Henrique 6-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
52.9% (735)
+0.0%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
53.4% (73)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
53.8% (145)
+1.6%
On power play, Stamkos has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Henrique is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Henrique shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Henrique
Stamkos
Home
55.3% (571)
54.1% (481)
Away
49.8% (512)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Henrique
Stamkos
P1
53.3%
50.2%
P2
52.4%
53.4%
P3
52.4%
55.8%
OT
53.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 04:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |