Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 93.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 72.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Lizotte
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Lizotte
Stamkos
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Lizotte
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
0
Lizotte
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Lizotte
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
56.1% (342)
-3.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.3% (92)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
62.5% (8)
-19.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stamkos
Home
44.2% (242)
53.4% (208)
Away
56.0% (234)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Lizotte
Stamkos
P1
49.6%
55.6%
P2
46.9%
52.8%
P3
52.6%
59.1%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:46 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |