Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 57.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 68.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 65.8%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Lizotte
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Lizotte
Stamkos
Last 7: Lizotte 1-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Lizotte
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
4
Lizotte
Stamkos
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
55.3% (628)
-2.8%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
55.1% (216)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
40.2% (87)
+1.2%
On power play, Stamkos has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stamkos
Home
51.4% (383)
55.5% (499)
Away
50.9% (424)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Lizotte
Stamkos
P1
48.8%
50.7%
P2
51.0%
53.8%
P3
53.5%
55.9%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:57 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 15:57 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |