Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Stamkos 53.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 56.1%
Defensive zone
Howden 76.9%
Neutral zone
Howden 64.1%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Howden
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Howden
Stamkos
Last 6: Howden 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Howden
Stamkos
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
Howden
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
54.1% (460)
-7.1%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
64.2% (106)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
45.3% (106)
+7.7%
On power play, Stamkos has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Howden is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Howden shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Howden
Stamkos
Home
44.8% (268)
58.2% (328)
Away
51.8% (253)
50.6% (344)
By Period
Howden
Stamkos
P1
51.6%
57.5%
P2
43.7%
53.1%
P3
50.0%
52.7%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |